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Red96
447639.8
75209.1
368337.3
Blue87
406923.8
748033.4
490323.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918002040601001201401609687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.9
39.240.1
Auto11.5
Teleop21.5
End6.7
red by 6.3
7480
#12
33.40.9
32.833.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End3.2
Second
37.30.9
35.236.2
Auto8.4
Teleop21.3
End7.6
red by 13.5
4069
#10
23.80.9
20.721.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End8.5
Third
7520
#16
9.10.9
7.48.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 14.2
4903
#19
23.30.9
19.720.6
Auto7.0
Teleop6.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsMissed