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Qual 152022 STEMley Cup
Red36
316110.1
86512.0
467836.3
Blue106
136011.7
205662.4
999226.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699705015036106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#14
36.32.8
40.1→37.3
Auto11.5
Teleop15.8
End8.9
blue by 26.1
2056
#1
62.40.7
59.2→59.9
Auto17.3
Teleop33.9
End11.0
Second
865
#20
12.02.8
13.4→10.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End3.0
blue by 14.2
9992
#9
26.21.1
22.8→24.0
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.6
Third
3161
#17
10.12.8
12.6→9.8
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End6.3
blue by 1.6
1360
#18
11.70.7
13.7→14.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned