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Qual 192022 STEMley Cup
Red154
205662.4
86512.0
132547.2
Blue53
434317.9
136011.7
301539.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1347705010015020015453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
62.41.0
59.9→60.9
Auto17.3
Teleop33.9
End11.0
red by 23.2
3015
#11
39.22.2
40.5→38.3
Auto11.5
Teleop16.0
End11.5
Second
1325
#2
47.21.0
45.0→46.1
Auto13.2
Teleop23.1
End11.0
red by 29.4
4343
#21
17.92.2
19.7→17.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Third
865
#20
12.01.0
10.6→11.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End3.0
red by 0.3
1360
#18
11.72.2
14.4→12.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed