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Red99
124135.0
406923.8
999822.4
Blue65
998510.9
75209.1
490741.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7859020401001201409965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.2
39.240.4
Auto14.3
Teleop18.5
End2.3
blue by 6.7
41.70.3
37.937.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End11.3
Second
4069
#10
23.81.2
21.722.9
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End8.5
red by 12.9
9985
#22
10.90.5
11.010.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
9998
#13
22.42.1
19.621.7
Auto8.7
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 13.3
7520
#16
9.10.3
8.58.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed