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Qual 242022 STEMley Cup
Red93
301539.2
406923.8
75209.1
Blue136
99999.7
205662.4
490741.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111605010015020093136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#11
39.20.9
38.3→39.2
Auto11.5
Teleop16.0
End11.5
blue by 23.2
2056
#1
62.41.5
60.9→62.4
Auto17.3
Teleop33.9
End11.0
Second
4069
#10
23.80.9
22.9→23.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End8.5
blue by 17.9
4907
#6
41.71.5
37.6→39.1
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End11.3
Third
7520
#16
9.10.9
8.2→9.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 0.6
9999
#23
9.72.3
7.4→9.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned