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Red26
75209.1
316110.1
434317.9
Blue50
136011.7
495113.7
111441.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31920204060801001201402650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#21
17.90.5
17.917.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 23.7
41.61.8
41.643.4
Auto11.3
Teleop23.1
End7.2
Second
3161
#17
10.11.2
10.111.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End6.3
blue by 3.6
13.70.1
13.713.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Third
7520
#16
9.13.5
9.15.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 2.6
1360
#18
11.74.4
11.716.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsMissed