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Red150
132547.2
748033.4
124135.0
Blue72
999226.2
301539.2
99999.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1403705010020015072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.26.7
47.240.5
Auto13.2
Teleop23.1
End11.0
red by 8.1
3015
#11
39.23.9
39.243.1
Auto11.5
Teleop16.0
End11.5
Second
35.010.6
35.045.6
Auto14.3
Teleop18.5
End2.3
red by 8.8
26.211.0
26.215.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.6
Third
7480
#12
33.40.7
33.432.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End3.2
red by 23.8
9999
#23
9.75.5
9.715.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed