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Red74
998910.5
205662.4
998510.9
Blue79
61025.2
368337.3
406923.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711020204060801201401607479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.40.7
58.357.5
Auto17.3
Teleop33.9
End11.0
red by 25.1
37.30.7
39.638.9
Auto8.4
Teleop21.3
End7.6
Second
9985
#22
10.91.2
11.710.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 14.3
610
#15
25.20.7
25.024.3
Auto9.1
Teleop11.0
End5.0
Third
9989
#24
10.51.2
14.913.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
blue by 13.3
4069
#10
23.80.7
24.824.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsMissed