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Red54
299023.8
99715.1
363627.2
Blue57
644313.2
252120.8
703444.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75910501001505457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#14
27.21.5
26.525.0
Auto9.8
Teleop9.9
End7.4
blue by 17.4
44.51.8
42.240.4
Auto17.2
Teleop19.0
End8.4
Second
23.81.5
30.428.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End7.5
red by 3.0
2521
#11
20.81.8
25.723.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End7.2
Third
997
#9
15.11.5
15.814.3
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.4
End13.6
red by 1.9
6443
#15
13.21.8
15.613.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsMissed