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Red43
273314.6
371112.6
142515.4
Blue67
281131.6
404310.9
903417.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6447020801001201401604367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#18
15.41.8
24.923.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End4.3
blue by 16.1
31.61.4
32.734.1
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End4.7
Second
2733
#13
14.61.8
13.511.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End7.5
blue by 3.2
17.82.3
1.84.2
Auto9.1
Teleop4.9
End3.8
Third
3711
#10
12.61.8
19.417.6
Auto4.2
Teleop0.8
End7.5
red by 1.7
10.91.4
11.312.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned