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Red28
371112.6
154021.1
95716.8
Blue68
644313.2
281131.6
299023.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79970501502002868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.13.2
28.024.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End5.9
blue by 10.5
31.61.7
33.932.3
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End4.7
Second
957
#7
16.83.2
23.420.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End7.6
blue by 7.0
23.81.7
36.134.4
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End7.5
Third
3711
#10
12.63.2
24.821.6
Auto4.2
Teleop0.8
End7.5
blue by 0.6
6443
#15
13.21.7
19.117.4
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsMissed89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsMissed91%Hangar oddsMissed