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Red24
135911.1
142515.4
404310.9
Blue65
363627.2
469210.0
703444.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710501502002465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#18
15.42.4
29.126.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End4.3
blue by 29.1
44.51.8
48.046.2
Auto17.2
Teleop19.0
End8.4
Second
1359
#16
11.12.4
14.812.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 16.1
3636
#14
27.21.8
30.428.6
Auto9.8
Teleop9.9
End7.4
Third
10.92.4
15.713.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End4.3
red by 0.9
4692
#12
10.01.8
13.812.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned