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Red41
154021.1
252120.8
371112.6
Blue32
95528.0
903417.8
644313.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835401001504132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.12.2
24.822.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End5.9
blue by 6.9
955
#3
28.01.8
32.530.7
Auto7.0
Teleop14.2
End6.7
Second
2521
#11
20.82.2
27.925.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End7.2
red by 3.0
17.83.0
4.81.8
Auto9.1
Teleop4.9
End3.8
Third
3711
#10
12.62.2
21.619.4
Auto4.2
Teleop0.8
End7.5
blue by 0.6
6443
#15
13.21.8
17.415.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsMissed