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Red68
683120.1
154024.6
59707.3
Blue29
255712.2
28988.5
291510.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44230103040506070806829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.62.3
16.418.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
red by 12.4
2557
#16
12.20.5
10.010.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Second
20.12.3
16.719.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 9.3
2915
#23
10.80.5
8.38.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
5970
#14
7.32.3
6.08.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 1.2
2898
#20
8.50.5
6.36.8
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed