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Red32
143214.4
59753.9
367414.6
Blue44
371114.4
46629.3
36014.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35341020304050603244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#13
14.60.1
15.115.0
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
blue by 0.2
360
#12
14.81.3
13.815.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Second
14.40.1
10.410.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End10.1
blue by 0.1
3711
#18
14.41.3
10.111.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End6.2
Third
5975
#25
3.90.1
7.57.4
Auto0.5
Teleop1.7
End1.8
blue by 5.3
9.31.3
8.59.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed