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Red40
63439.1
66967.8
36014.8
Blue61
95524.0
143214.4
291510.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29501020406070804061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#12
14.80.8
14.315.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 9.2
955
#2
24.01.4
22.323.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End4.3
Second
6343
#11
9.10.8
8.39.1
Auto0.8
Teleop2.0
End6.3
blue by 5.3
14.41.4
13.014.4
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End10.1
Third
6696
#19
7.80.8
7.38.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 3.0
2915
#23
10.81.4
8.810.2
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsEarned