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Red10
28988.5
6465-0.4
54508.7
Blue54
41275.6
683120.1
5687.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163501020304050601054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5450
#22
8.70.6
9.99.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End1.7
blue by 11.4
20.10.9
19.220.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Second
2898
#20
8.50.6
9.18.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End4.7
red by 0.6
568
#17
7.90.9
6.87.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Third
6465
#27
-0.40.6
-1.2-1.9
Auto0.3
Teleop0.2
End-0.9
blue by 6.0
4127
#24
5.60.9
4.65.5
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed