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Red62
95531.5
252128.7
302411.0
Blue87
142529.0
644320.9
95720.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6750204060801001206287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#9
31.50.4
27.426.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End4.4
red by 2.6
29.02.2
18.220.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End8.8
Second
2521
#10
28.70.4
20.620.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End11.2
red by 7.8
6443
#13
20.92.2
15.217.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End6.9
Third
3024
#28
11.00.4
12.512.0
Auto1.9
Teleop7.1
End2.0
blue by 9.1
957
#14
20.12.2
15.918.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned