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Red67
281130.8
143219.0
7538.3
Blue68
363633.4
381217.6
80328.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495430406070806768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.4
26.027.3
Auto10.5
Teleop17.2
End3.2
blue by 2.5
33.40.7
30.831.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End9.5
Second
1432
#18
19.01.4
15.817.2
Auto4.7
Teleop0.9
End13.4
red by 1.4
3812
#16
17.60.7
12.613.3
Auto6.2
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Third
753
#20
8.31.4
4.86.2
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End3.7
blue by 0.7
8032
#21
8.90.7
6.67.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed