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Red80
36739.4
142529.0
252128.7
Blue63
302411.0
545012.2
448838.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50592040801008063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.02.1
20.522.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End8.8
blue by 9.8
38.80.6
32.933.5
Auto11.2
Teleop20.6
End7.0
Second
2521
#10
28.72.1
20.222.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End11.2
red by 16.5
5450
#25
12.20.6
9.39.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.2
Third
3673
#22
9.42.1
7.69.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End3.7
blue by 1.6
3024
#28
11.00.6
12.012.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned