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Red54
367424.6
7538.3
26359.8
Blue40
273317.6
64656.5
363633.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265702040801005440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.2
17.819.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End7.5
blue by 8.8
33.40.7
31.430.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End9.5
Second
2635
#24
9.81.2
4.85.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End2.5
blue by 7.9
2733
#12
17.60.7
14.914.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End8.9
Third
753
#20
8.31.2
6.27.3
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End3.7
red by 1.7
6465
#23
6.50.7
3.62.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsMissed