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Red81
404323.3
80328.9
703437.0
Blue86
95720.1
448838.8
367424.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6078401001208186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.5
32.233.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.7
End11.6
blue by 1.8
38.81.0
32.733.8
Auto11.2
Teleop20.6
End7.0
Second
4043
#19
23.31.5
21.022.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End6.3
blue by 1.3
24.61.0
19.520.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End7.5
Third
8032
#21
8.91.5
5.87.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End3.8
blue by 11.2
957
#14
20.11.0
18.619.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned