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Red49
143219.0
545012.2
381217.6
Blue37
31317.3
36739.4
546817.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48300204060801004937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1432
#18
19.00.4
18.118.5
Auto4.7
Teleop0.9
End13.4
red by 1.5
5468
#17
17.50.4
13.714.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End9.8
Second
3812
#16
17.60.4
15.215.6
Auto6.2
Teleop5.7
End5.6
red by 8.2
3673
#22
9.40.4
9.59.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Third
5450
#25
12.20.4
9.910.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.2
red by 5.0
3131
#27
7.30.4
7.57.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned