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Red89
204634.4
299030.9
7533.9
Blue99
154028.6
363627.6
5687.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72652040801001208999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.1
33.733.8
Auto8.1
Teleop16.8
End9.5
red by 5.7
28.60.6
28.228.8
Auto8.8
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Second
30.90.1
30.230.3
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End13.4
red by 3.3
27.60.6
27.127.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End8.7
Third
753
#28
3.90.1
3.23.3
Auto1.6
Teleop0.5
End1.8
blue by 3.3
568
#16
7.10.6
6.77.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End5.2