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Red104
204634.4
299030.9
7533.9
Blue59
154028.6
363627.6
5687.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73672040608010012010459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.6
33.834.5
Auto8.1
Teleop16.8
End9.5
red by 5.7
28.60.1
28.828.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Second
30.90.6
30.330.9
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End13.4
red by 3.3
27.60.1
27.727.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End8.7
Third
753
#28
3.90.6
3.34.0
Auto1.6
Teleop0.5
End1.8
blue by 3.3
568
#16
7.10.1
7.37.2
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End5.2