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Red62
363627.6
95713.6
291511.8
Blue56
204634.4
36736.5
41276.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060806256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.9
21.323.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End8.7
blue by 6.8
34.40.8
24.825.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.8
End9.5
Second
957
#6
13.61.9
13.115.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.8
red by 7.1
3673
#19
6.50.8
6.47.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Third
11.81.1
10.811.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 5.4
4127
#24
6.40.5
5.56.0
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed