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Red41
445010.0
289814.9
247118.8
Blue29
644315.9
7533.9
142514.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423202060804129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#13
18.80.1
14.214.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End7.7
red by 2.9
15.90.3
14.113.8
Auto5.2
Teleop2.5
End8.2
Second
14.90.1
10.810.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End8.5
red by 0.5
1425
#11
14.40.3
13.313.0
Auto8.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Third
4450
#23
10.00.1
13.213.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End2.6
red by 6.1
753
#28
3.90.3
4.13.8
Auto1.6
Teleop0.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed