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Red32
289814.9
31316.3
644315.9
Blue30
291511.8
41276.4
99715.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3938203050603230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.7
17.016.3
Auto5.2
Teleop2.5
End8.2
red by 0.1
997
#10
15.90.9
17.316.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End8.3
Second
14.90.5
12.111.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End8.5
red by 3.1
11.80.7
12.611.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
3131
#21
6.30.7
6.76.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 0.1
4127
#24
6.40.7
6.15.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed