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Red32
5687.1
247118.8
597010.1
Blue35
95713.6
36736.5
634312.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37341020304050603235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#13
18.80.2
17.317.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End7.7
red by 5.3
957
#6
13.60.5
12.812.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Second
10.10.2
12.111.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End2.7
blue by 2.7
6343
#12
12.80.4
12.612.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End7.1
Third
568
#16
7.10.2
5.04.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End5.2
red by 0.6
3673
#19
6.50.5
7.26.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed