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Red25
644315.9
95713.6
135910.7
Blue46
41276.4
154028.6
23746.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324302060802546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.7
11.410.7
Auto5.2
Teleop2.5
End8.2
blue by 12.7
28.60.2
25.725.9
Auto8.8
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Second
957
#6
13.60.7
11.210.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.8
red by 7.2
4127
#24
6.40.2
5.65.8
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End3.3
Third
1359
#15
10.70.7
8.98.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.2
red by 4.5
2374
#20
6.20.2
7.77.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed