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Red30
291511.8
66965.8
445010.0
Blue29
466210.1
99715.9
247118.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31450102040506070803029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.80.6
10.810.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 7.1
2471
#13
18.81.3
19.418.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End7.7
Second
4450
#23
10.01.0
10.910.0
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 5.9
997
#10
15.91.3
12.110.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End8.3
Third
6696
#25
5.80.6
9.08.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.3
End3.3
blue by 4.3
4662
#17
10.10.8
9.18.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsMissed