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Red28
7533.9
26354.3
289814.9
Blue33
204634.4
634312.8
405712.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264002060802833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.91.0
8.27.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End8.5
blue by 19.5
34.40.3
17.216.9
Auto8.1
Teleop16.8
End9.5
Second
2635
#22
4.31.6
10.38.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.5
End1.6
blue by 8.4
6343
#12
12.80.2
8.98.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End7.1
Third
753
#28
3.91.6
8.16.5
Auto1.6
Teleop0.5
End1.8
blue by 8.3
4057
#14
12.20.3
9.69.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsMissed