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Red18
41276.4
302410.4
644315.9
Blue45
31316.3
363627.6
5687.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25310102040506070801845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.6
10.79.1
Auto5.2
Teleop2.5
End8.2
blue by 11.6
27.61.4
14.515.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End8.7
Second
3024
#27
10.41.6
8.16.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.4
red by 3.2
568
#16
7.10.8
6.97.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End5.2
Third
4127
#24
6.41.0
5.84.8
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End3.3
red by 0.1
3131
#21
6.31.4
7.28.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed