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Red52
540116.6
25546.8
162628.9
Blue49
56240.8
180735.7
457515.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264202060805249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.92.1
14.716.8
Auto6.3
Teleop17.8
End4.8
blue by 6.7
35.70.8
29.330.1
Auto7.9
Teleop17.3
End10.4
Second
5401
#13
16.61.7
8.09.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End4.7
red by 0.9
4575
#18
15.70.8
9.810.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End7.0
Third
2554
#22
6.81.7
3.55.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End2.4
red by 6.0
5624
#29
0.80.8
-1.5-0.8
Auto0.4
Teleop-0.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed