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Red49
171210.4
632717.6
465316.1
Blue58
704519.4
31625.5
692115.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523902060804958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6327
#19
17.60.2
17.317.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End5.4
blue by 7.9
316
#6
25.51.3
9.811.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End9.8
Second
4653
#27
16.10.2
20.720.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End3.4
blue by 3.4
7045
#17
19.41.3
16.818.1
Auto6.2
Teleop4.8
End8.4
Third
1712
#26
10.40.2
9.39.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End4.8
blue by 5.5
15.91.3
12.013.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsEarned