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Red33
574025.3
584214.5
29113.7
Blue40
205114.6
414516.4
265614.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38350102030506070803340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#22
25.30.2
10.410.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End9.4
red by 9.0
4145
#36
16.40.7
10.911.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End4.4
Second
5842
#31
14.50.1
10.610.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End4.7
blue by 0.1
2051
#37
14.60.7
13.714.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
291
#38
13.70.2
14.113.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 0.4
2656
#26
14.10.7
8.89.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsMissed