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Red51
499114.3
37814.4
260312.5
Blue53
716516.4
32523.3
603213.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384302060805153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#45
14.41.7
15.016.7
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 8.9
325
#4
23.31.5
12.814.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.6
End4.8
Second
4991
#30Sur
14.31.7
10.111.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End7.3
blue by 2.1
7165
#25Sur
16.41.5
11.913.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End7.3
Third
2603
#23
12.51.7
10.912.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End2.8
blue by 0.8
6032
#47
13.31.5
14.816.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned