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Red39
205114.6
350417.4
170812.1
Blue60
746021.1
320112.4
446715.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395020306070803960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#40
17.40.1
13.713.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End4.1
blue by 3.6
7460
#11
21.11.6
18.820.4
Auto6.1
Teleop3.0
End11.9
Second
2051
#37
14.60.1
13.413.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.6
blue by 1.1
4467
#32
15.71.6
13.214.8
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Third
1708
#33
12.10.1
10.510.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End3.2
blue by 0.2
3201
#39
12.41.6
13.515.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned