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Red69
178736.1
15616.2
12015.5
Blue86
683413.6
408516.0
225229.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673602060801006986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.7
35.536.2
Auto6.0
Teleop16.5
End13.6
red by 6.9
29.24.5
14.619.1
Auto12.1
Teleop11.1
End5.9
Second
156
#34
16.21.1
11.412.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End7.1
red by 0.2
4085
#24
16.04.5
11.115.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Third
120
#29
15.51.1
12.213.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End3.3
red by 1.9
6834
#42DQ
13.64.5
11.916.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned