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Red26
350417.4
499114.3
603213.3
Blue68
170812.1
261430.0
574025.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396420801002668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#40
17.41.6
14.112.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End4.1
blue by 12.6
30.00.5
28.829.2
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Second
4991
#30
14.31.6
13.812.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End7.3
blue by 11.0
5740
#22
25.30.8
16.217.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End9.4
Third
6032
#47
13.31.6
12.110.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End4.7
red by 1.2
1708
#33
12.10.8
11.712.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed