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Red66
381422.9
549220.8
12015.5
Blue30
405015.9
37814.4
454710.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504830354045556065706630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.1
17.119.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End12.4
red by 7.0
4050
#28
15.91.7
18.116.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Second
5492
#13
20.82.1
16.118.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.0
End10.7
red by 6.3
378
#45
14.41.7
17.615.8
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Third
120
#29
15.52.0
13.615.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End3.3
red by 5.5
4547
#35
10.01.7
9.88.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed