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Red38
499114.3
683413.6
55421.8
Blue37
405015.9
205114.6
584214.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544520304050607080903837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
#9
21.81.2
21.520.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End9.5
red by 6.0
4050
#28
15.90.6
16.415.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Second
4991
#30
14.31.2
12.311.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End7.3
blue by 0.3
2051
#37
14.60.6
14.613.9
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
6834
#42
13.61.2
15.614.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End3.3
blue by 0.9
5842
#31
14.50.4
12.111.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsMissed