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Red63
549220.8
69517.9
264112.4
Blue67
261430.0
37918.6
260312.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4667204060801006367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#13
20.81.4
18.219.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.0
End10.7
blue by 9.2
30.00.4
29.229.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Second
695
#15
17.91.4
16.017.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End5.6
blue by 0.7
379
#21
18.60.7
17.518.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End10.5
Third
2641
#46
12.40.9
11.312.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.5
blue by 0.1
2603
#23
12.50.6
13.514.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned