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Red55
37814.4
29113.7
151123.8
Blue73
14420.3
37918.6
446715.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453203040607080905573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#10
23.80.3
23.623.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End5.8
red by 3.4
144
#12
20.32.1
19.121.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.3
Second
378
#45
14.40.4
13.914.3
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 4.2
379
#21
18.62.1
17.719.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End10.5
Third
291
#38
13.70.3
13.413.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 2.0
4467
#32
15.71.9
12.714.7
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned