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Red58
69517.9
746021.1
326014.4
Blue63
414516.4
381422.9
499114.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555640506070805863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7460
#11
21.10.5
20.721.2
Auto6.1
Teleop3.0
End11.9
blue by 1.9
22.90.6
22.523.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End12.4
Second
695
#15
17.90.5
17.017.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End5.6
red by 1.6
4145
#36
16.40.5
15.916.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End4.4
Third
3260
#43
14.40.4
14.214.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End4.9
red by 0.1
4991
#30
14.30.5
14.214.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned