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Red56
260718.3
180722.5
7099.6
Blue66
34116.4
164019.4
81611.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514320304060705666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.0
20.421.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End6.2
red by 3.1
19.41.0
16.417.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End8.7
Second
2607
#12
18.31.0
16.717.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End5.2
red by 1.9
341
#13
16.41.0
12.413.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End4.9
Third
709
#24
9.61.0
9.510.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End5.1
blue by 1.8
816
#19
11.41.0
12.613.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsMissed