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Red78
27217.4
589537.9
209516.3
Blue53
10317.7
70811.0
272013.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51340204060807853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.93.6
26.129.7
Auto13.3
Teleop21.0
End3.6
red by 20.2
103
#21
17.72.1
16.118.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End6.1
Second
272
#20
17.43.6
12.916.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.0
End5.5
red by 4.4
2720
#16
13.12.1
7.79.8
Auto3.4
Teleop0.6
End9.0
Third
2095
#30
16.33.6
6.410.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.0
End5.8
red by 5.3
708
#23
11.02.1
10.612.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned