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Red52
568416.4
36522.4
27227.9
Blue53
7099.6
223415.0
27217.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443304050605253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#14
22.40.7
19.920.6
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End5.5
red by 5.0
272
#20
17.40.4
16.216.6
Auto6.0
Teleop6.0
End5.5
Second
5684
#15
16.40.8
13.214.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End3.3
red by 1.4
15.00.4
16.116.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End9.7
Third
2722
#33
7.90.7
8.08.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End2.7
blue by 1.6
709
#24
9.60.4
8.69.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned