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Red42
437321.2
787712.1
542015.4
Blue73
741414.3
253927.3
218014.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453702060804273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.1
16.516.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End5.0
blue by 6.1
27.33.8
19.523.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End10.9
Second
5420
#26
15.40.1
14.214.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 1.1
7414
#11
14.33.8
7.111.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
7877
#27
12.10.1
10.710.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 2.1
2180
#18
14.13.8
9.313.2
Auto1.7
Teleop6.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned