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Red46
272013.1
25599.9
542015.4
Blue40
4237.6
223415.0
81611.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4134102030506070804640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5420
#26
15.40.7
15.616.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 0.4
15.00.2
14.614.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End9.7
Second
2720
#16
13.10.8
13.314.1
Auto3.4
Teleop0.6
End9.0
red by 1.7
816
#19
11.40.2
12.612.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Third
2559
#28
9.90.7
8.59.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End3.0
red by 2.2
423
#31
7.60.2
5.86.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned